Wednesday, August 23, 2006

Love Those Predictive Models!

Well, how have folks been enjoying the 2006 hurricane season so far? For those keeping track at home, according to the experts we should have been enjoying 15-17 named storms and 7-9 hurricanes. Hell, even in the downward revised forecast we were supposed to get 6.1 hurricanes in August alone. (For those who care about such things, as of the 23rd of August we have had zero. Next week should be a doozey!)

I can almost hear someone saying "Blimey! This whole forecasting the weather and climate is trickier than we thought."

At least they would be saying it if they had a shred of intellectual honesty.

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