"That being said I would be surprised if Lukashenko's defiance to Moscow will amount to too much."
Today we learn:
Belarus has cancelled a transit tax on oil shipments from Russia, according to the country's prime minister.
The move, following meetings between government ministers, marks progress in resolving an argument with Moscow over oil which began earlier this week.
Russia closed the pipeline on Monday after it accused Belarus of stealing oil supplies.
Oil through the Druzhba pipeline - across Belarus - could flow again soon, European customers say.
"The government, taking into consideration bilateral agreements with the Russian government, has taken the decision to cancel the state duty for the transit of oil along the state pipeline network," said Belarussian Prime Minister Sergei Sidorsky.
Why do I get the feeling that Lukashenko just got beat down good?
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